Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.357707 0.470027 0.592822 0.735023 0.893353 1.062655 1.255893
2025-06-08 0.181723 0.319610 0.490311 0.706507 0.964433 1.255406 1.602323
2025-06-15 0.114578 0.259971 0.458200 0.724484 1.055266 1.439305 1.907317
2025-06-22 0.062570 0.200999 0.412958 0.715587 1.106181 1.571433 2.149124
2025-06-29 0.028368 0.151021 0.367309 0.696060 1.135890 1.671853 2.348084
2025-07-06 0.015970 0.134606 0.366954 0.734461 1.236714 1.856708 2.645913
2025-07-13 0.008750 0.124233 0.373411 0.780580 1.346329 2.051574 2.955230
2025-07-20 0.003786 0.113487 0.376640 0.820491 1.446801 2.234535 3.249876
2025-07-27 0.002196 0.114601 0.400616 0.890850 1.587882 2.468358 3.606460
2025-08-03 0.000528 0.107893 0.408483 0.936227 1.694921 2.659246 3.910772
2025-08-10 NaN 0.090599 0.392382 0.943136 1.748554 2.781937 4.131234
2025-08-17 NaN 0.061605 0.343926 0.895062 1.723748 2.802864 4.225155
2025-08-24 NaN 0.035868 0.292420 0.839282 1.689095 2.814545 4.313452
2025-08-31 NaN 0.021730 0.261972 0.815128 1.697519 2.881256 4.470118
2025-09-07 NaN 0.016409 0.256018 0.832655 1.765449 3.025202 4.722859
2025-09-14 NaN 0.009367 0.236658 0.823599 1.793089 3.115250 4.907299
2025-09-21 NaN 0.003717 0.212494 0.802421 1.800912 3.177799 5.056077
2025-09-28 NaN 0.003198 0.220288 0.843804 1.903563 3.367661 5.367049
2025-10-05 NaN 0.003151 0.232099 0.893348 2.018822 3.574681 5.700142
2025-10-12 NaN 0.002778 0.240574 0.936159 2.123849 3.768032 6.015969
2025-10-19 NaN 0.004037 0.264999 1.011465 2.278879 4.029052 6.418471
2025-10-26 NaN 0.003901 0.276163 1.059934 2.392842 4.234780 6.750522
2025-11-02 NaN 0.001979 0.267266 1.067308 2.443595 4.355133 6.973513